Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 58.899819 67.081298 75.475836 84.698550 94.513457 104.615858 115.769693
2025-12-21 44.854691 56.310041 68.652395 82.794714 98.417241 115.027470 133.907027
2025-12-28 39.486911 53.094737 68.252158 86.094209 106.255984 128.100536 153.336252
2026-01-04 34.590560 49.650158 66.948693 87.801184 111.824013 138.259953 169.201420
2026-01-11 29.509053 45.352535 64.130200 87.296225 114.473741 144.810663 180.736255
2026-01-18 25.309715 41.660957 61.641401 86.830923 116.872535 150.831397 191.456160
2026-01-25 22.198974 39.013192 60.150191 87.317470 120.183019 157.732799 203.034879
2026-02-01 19.019742 35.942197 57.875086 86.635023 121.930879 162.684968 212.259209
2026-02-08 16.506323 33.518121 56.224205 86.554007 124.261353 168.207575 222.049476
2026-02-15 13.986805 30.811337 54.003361 85.592714 125.391904 172.214563 229.991810
2026-02-22 12.501199 29.480906 53.507661 86.737382 129.031018 179.141650 241.305288
2026-03-01 11.302312 28.464136 53.352627 88.255185 133.082441 186.526760 253.133563
2026-03-08 9.469002 26.235054 51.403969 87.369943 134.121735 190.316300 260.771684
2026-03-15 7.618897 23.714644 48.872380 85.585390 133.936583 192.562107 266.532629
2026-03-22 7.262986 23.818107 50.150455 88.916954 140.247581 202.705968 281.713699
2026-03-29 6.564096 23.190673 50.288099 90.659838 144.501880 210.324307 293.868147
2026-04-05 5.447625 21.580534 48.837389 90.144866 145.793431 214.268461 301.582467
2026-04-12 4.478440 20.090742 47.470087 89.671382 147.084083 218.172078 309.217863
2026-04-19 3.800109 19.102468 46.825309 90.166636 149.607367 223.580592 318.658534
2026-04-26 3.016143 17.685364 45.392510 89.471932 150.515351 226.943738 325.590776
2026-05-03 2.427129 16.594824 44.421441 89.389456 152.197666 231.249610 333.652955
2026-05-10 1.814097 15.227455 42.882849 88.410807 152.634409 233.955826 339.733816
2026-05-17 1.523108 14.726475 42.810895 89.576132 155.941497 240.278105 350.247037